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Cuba After Castro |
| Section: CURRENT ISSUES / ANALYSIS |
| Author: Jaime Suchlicki |
| Publication: The world & I online |
| Issue Date: 1/1/2004 |
| Size: 3,338 Words, 22,033 Characters |
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As Fidel Castro celebrated his seventy-seventh birthday and 45 years in power, many wonder about the future of Cuba's revolution without the "maximum leader." Will the regime collapse after his death? Will succession be fast and easy or slow and difficult? Will the new leadership be willing to offer concessions to the United States in an attempt to normalize relations?
Other questions also remain unanswered: How can the leadership after Castro revivify Cuba's troubled domestic economy? What are the chances that the new rulers will be unable to exercise any major option at all? Will they fear upsetting the multilevel balance of interests upon which a new government will certainly depend? Clearly, the questions are easier asked than answered. Depiction of Cuba's immediate future without C...
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...th, the United States; a major attractiveness to tourists; and a large and wealthy exile population. These three factors could converge to transform Cuba's economy, but only if the future leadership creates the necessary conditions: an open, legally fair economy and a free, tolerant, and responsible political system. Unfortunately, life in Cuba is likely to remain difficult and improve slowly.
(806 of 22,033 characters)
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